What we should do impact evaluation for MP3EI ????

Indonesia’s economic development has made tremendous progreses in some last decades. Basic economic foundation still on agriculture and raw material, now Indonesia has a little bit moved to Industrial economic. However, shared from agriculture still dominant in Indonesia Economic. It means as developing country, Indonesia has been economic potential to raising in the future. Now, Economic activities has focused toward manufacturing and services oriented industry. It’s focused can be improved the nation’s prosperity, which reflected by per Capita Income (PCI), Human Development Index (HDI). Data statistics show from 1980 to 2010, HDI to increase from 0.39 to 0.60, PCI increase from USD 1,318 to USD 3,004.  

In International forum Indonesia has been a much bigger role in global economy. Currently, Indonesia ranks 17th as the largest in the world. In some regional and global forum, Indonesia has been strategic position as emergency country not only in ASEAN, East Asia, and APEC, but also in G-20 and others forum. Indonesia had successfully passed away global economic crisis in 2008, which was kept growth still on positive around 4.3%, it’s brought Indonesia had praised by International agencies. And after some years later, Indonesia has showed great progresses in economic condition, the nation’s had been raising debt rating in investment grade by international debt rating agencies.

Indonesia has big dream to be developed country 2025, so, the nation’s need to prepare Masterplan for Acceleration and Expansion of Indonesia Economic Development (MP3EI). For realize the dreaming, there are some challenges that need to resolved. The domestic dynamic and global economy requires Indonesia can be used all their resources and ready for any change. The effective and efficient are keys to make Indonesia to be developed countries. So, debottlenecking and bureaucracy reform still have been working for the government.

The vision in MP3EI has been making Indonesia to be developed country in 2025. Through acceleration and expansion of economic development, can be increasing the quality of Indonesia’s human development with high income and purchasing power, as well as improved equality and quality of life whole nation. So, hardworking and smartworking by government to accelerate and expand economic development needed. To implementation of MP3EI as document to be realized, need sinergize with all stakeholder, such as goverment as regulator, investors, parliamenter, and all of parts involved in.

Now, MP3EI has been working since middle of 2011, many achieving to realize by groundbreaking and inauguration of the projects. Government was launched 2011 main sectors 58 project with valued Rp 239 trillion, and in 2012 launched 34 projects with valued Rp 109 trillion, since MP3EI be launched in 2011 MP3EI can be realizing and ensuring implemented 92 projects with valued Rp 348 trillion, these are projects without infrastructures. For infrastructures the government’s launched total projects 99 with valued Rp 278 trillion, its spreads in all corridor economic in MP3EI. In 2011 infrastructures projects was launched 59 projects with valued Rp 196 trillion and in 2012 was launched 40 projects with valued Rp 82 trillion. There are showed implementation project in MP3EI since launched by President Indonesia of Republic in 2011.

We need to evaluate  impact of MP3EI contribution for economic development since launched. MP3EI has been targeted with PCI of USD 14,250-USD 15,500 with total GDP of USD 4.0-4.5 trillion by 2025. Where’s, Indonesia needs real economic growth of 6.4-7.5 percent is expected  for period of 2011-2014 (MP3EI’s document). This economic growth has to follow with decreasing inflation from 6.5 percent in 2011-2014 to 3 percent in 2025. The combination of  low inflation and high growth economic are showing characteristics of a developed country. That’s why impact evaluation of MP3EI has to do it for ensuring implementation program on the target.